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Eaton fire sent a pollution wave across Los Angeles, study shows

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The 2025 Eaton fire's smoke did more than darken the sky: It generated a carbon monoxide and particulate matter surge that far exceeded Los Angeles County's average daily human-caused emissions, according to a new study led by researchers at the USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences. The findings are published in the journal ACS ES&T Air.

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Dense smoke from the Eaton fire hangs over downtown Los Angeles on Jan. 8, 2025. Credit: Darrin S. Joy

The 2025 Eaton fire's smoke did more than darken the sky: It generated a carbon monoxide and particulate matter surge that far exceeded Los Angeles County's average daily human-caused emissions, according to a new study led by researchers at the USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences. The findings are published in the journal ACS ES&T Air.

The findings show how a major urban wildfire can quickly become a regional air-quality crisis, sending harmful smoke across L.A. and raising concerns about respiratory, psychological, and other health effects that Keck School of Medicine of USC researchers are now studying.

Researchers estimated the Eaton fire produced carbon monoxide at rates more than 20 times higher than L.A. County's average daily human-caused emissions.

"People could see the smoke, but they couldn't see the scale of the pollution it was carrying," said William Berelson, professor of Earth sciences, environmental studies, and spatial sciences at USC Dornsife and a co-author of the study. "This one fire was producing carbon monoxide on a scale that exceeded the entire county's usual daily emissions from human activity."

Burning homes and other structures accounted for a larger share of the fire's carbon emissions than trees and shrubs did, helping explain why the Eaton fire created such a large regional impact.

Researchers combined satellite imagery, computer-aided modeling of the smoke plumes, and on-the-ground air measurements to estimate what burned and track how smoke moved across the region in near real time.

The air data included readings from the Carbon Census network of sensors deployed around Los Angeles by Berelson's team.

The team estimated the Eaton fire released about 153 million kilograms of carbon (337 million pounds). Smoke reached downtown L.A. within hours of the fire's start, then moved west, reaching coastal areas several hours later. At some monitoring sites, levels of harmful fine-particle pollution known as PM2.5 exceeded the EPA's 24-hour health standard for one to three days.

The January 2025 Los Angeles fires affected the region in different ways, but the Eaton fire stands out because its smoke moved directly into central and western Los Angeles, exposing communities far from the burn area. By contrast, early emissions from the Palisades fire were carried offshore by winds.

The study suggests urban wildfires should be understood not only as disasters of flame and loss, but also as citywide air-quality emergencies with climate and public-health consequences.

The findings could help scientists and policymakers better estimate the full costs of urban fires, including emissions and air-quality impacts that spread across an entire metro area.

In addition to Berelson, study authors include Pietro Vannucci and Wenye Wang of USC Dornsife and Jooil Kim and Timothy Lueker of Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego.

Publication details Pietro F. Vannucci et al, Multimodal Approach for Assessing Emissions and Transport of Greenhouse Gases and Air Pollutants from the January 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires, ACS ES&T Air (2026). DOI: 10.1021/acsestair.5c00430 Journal information: ACS ES&T Air

— Source: Phys.org (https://phys.org/news/2026-03-eaton-pollution-los-angeles.html)

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